PCE returns data to the front burner after stocks posted a robust rally yesterday in response to a fragile ceasefire. Strait traffic didn't immediately improve but oil plunged.
Trading today could hinge on any fresh escalation or de-escalation of the war, as well as the impact of oil prices. Stocks were resilient early this week despite war concerns.
Though stocks soared early on the two-week ceasefire, things aren't back to normal and there's no guarantee oil will stay muzzled. Shipping and supply chains take time to recover.
President Trump's deadline tonight for Iran to re-open the strait or face new attacks could keep investors nervous today, keeping focus on oil. A Treasury auction is also on tap.
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